Verify results

How to verify any quant trading result: a 7-step checklist

17 October 2026 · 7 min read · ArrissaCapital

Whether you are looking at a trading bot, a signal group or a fund report, the same questions separate solid results from marketing. Use this checklist on anyone's numbers. We built Arrissa REX 9 AI with this list in mind.

Seven checks before you trust a backtest
  1. 1Real tick data with the spread
  2. 2Costs and slippage included
  3. 3Drawdown measured every minute
  4. 4Fixed lots, no compounding
  5. 5Hundreds of trades, many years
  6. 6Out-of-sample and start-date tests
  7. 7Forward results on a demo

1. Real data with the spread

Results should come from tick data with real bid and ask prices, not one price per bar. Otherwise entries and stops are filled at prices nobody could have traded.

2. All costs included

Spread, slippage, commission and swap. Ask what was assumed for each.

3. Drawdown measured every minute

The deepest dip must include open trades. Closed-trade drawdown can understate the real pain several times over.

4. Fixed lots

Compounding hides the edge inside growing position sizes. Ask for fixed-lot results.

5. Enough trades over enough time

Hundreds of trades across several years, rising and falling markets, quiet and busy periods.

6. Out-of-sample and start-date tests

Was the strategy checked on data it was not built on? Does it hold up from many start dates, not just one?

7. Forward results

Real-time results, even on a demo, are the best proof of all. That is why every Arrissa REX 9 AI user starts with a free $10,000 simulated demo, and why our backtest grows every day with new market data.

Red flags

  • Only win rate is shown, never drawdown.
  • Monthly returns that never have a losing month.
  • Screenshots instead of full trade lists.
  • Results that start right before a big trend.
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Risk warning. Trading leveraged products such as CFDs carries a high risk of losing money. Backtest figures are simulations, not real results, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Read the risk disclosure before you connect an account. Nothing here is financial advice.

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